ICAS Polling XIII


October 26, 2020

SURVEY SHOWS

IMPOSING RESTRICTIONS ON ENTITIES ENGAGING IN MALIGN ACTIVITIES WITH NK GOOD IDEA
"NORMAL" JAPAN TO ENHANCE THE US STRATEGIC GOAL IN NORTHEAST ASIA
SK OUGHT TO JOIN QUAD AS A COMMITTED PARTNER OF THE US-SK ALLIANCE
CHINA WON'T COME TO DEFEND SK AGAINST NK'S ATTACK
THE "PEACE" VISION TO TRIGGER OPCON TRANSITION AND UNC DISMANTLEMENT
THE SK MILITARY NOT A MATCH TO THE NK MILITARY

THE "FOUNDING PRINCIPLES" OF SK ABOUT TO COLLAPSE

The nuclear and missile arsenals of NK a significant national asset of the Korean Peninsula?

MOON'S "PEACE" NOT ACHIEVABLE WITHOUT "JUSTICE"
THE BLUE HOUSE TURNED INTO A RED HOUSE

Washington, D.C. October 26, 2020 (ICAS) — A thirteenth new poll conducted by the Institute for Corean-American Studies (ICAS) continues to identify issues surrounding the Korean Peninsula from a national security standpoint of the U.S.

Conducted to an ICAS audience on the Hill, the poll shows that the respondents continue to hope South Korea (SK) to remain a key partner in the Indo-Pacific Theater, but that they are skeptical of President Moon and his “peace initiative”.

100% of respondents believe that strengthening the US's commitment and resolve for diplomacy, defense, development and democracy would enhance American leadership in Asia vis-a-vis the rise of China.

In that regard, more than 94% of the respondents think it would be a good idea to impose restrictions on certain companies, corporations and their executives for their malign activities with NK.

Similarly, 83% of the respondents view that a "normal" Japan would enhance the strategic goal of the US in Northeast Asia.

94% are of the view that SK ought to join the QUAD - a presumptive security alliance among Australia, Japan, India, and the US in the Indo-Pacific Theatre - as a committed partner of the US-SK Alliance. An overwhelming majority of the respondents (86%) do not believe China would come to defend SK in a contingency when NK attacks SK.

The respondents continue to be skeptical of President Moon and his “peace initiative”.

More than 74% of the respondents view that President Moon's "peace" vision in the Korean Peninsula would include an "OpCon transition" and, subsequently, dismantling of the UNC (United Nations Command). 23% do not think so.

57% of the respondents do not think the SK military in toto (i.e., arsenals, leadership, manpower, morale, training, who is enemy?, will to fight) is a credible and strong enough match to the NK military as a whole at this juncture, while 43% think so.

Slightly more than a simple majority of the respondents (51%) think a fast-evolving geopolitical dynamics in Northeast Asia might engender circumstances leading to a potential collapse of the "Founding Principles" promulgated in the Constitution of SK. 46% do not think so.

The respondents are evenly split (46%, respectively) on the question of whether the incumbent administration of SK may quietly consider the nuclear and missile arsenals of NK a significant national asset of the Korean Peninsula.

83% of the respondents believe President Moon's "peace" would not be achievable in the Korean Peninsula without "justice" being secured.

66% of the respondents are of the view that the Blue House of SK may have turned into a Red House.

The survey was conducted from October 8, 2020 to October 19, 2020 via email with a moderate credibility interval. Supplemental graphic data are available on www.icasinc.org/strategy.html.

Inquiry to ICAS@icasinc.org

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About Institute for Corean-American Studies (ICAS)

ICAS was established in 1973, as a non-profit, non-partisan, and private educational and research organization and it is incorporated in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. ICAS is not an agent of any government and/or a foreign principal, and is solely supported by voluntary contributions. Its activities and programs rely on the private donations of the general public, i.e., individuals, foundations, and corporations. ICAS promotes pertinent relations and conducts appropriate activities with a special emphasis on multilateral relations between the United States and Asia-Pacific rim nations. Its membership includes individuals from varied sectors embracing academic, corporate, cultural, educational, international and other related fields. ICAS strives to provide public services pro bono publico.

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