ICAS Polling XXII


November 8, 2022

...........................SURVEY SHOWS


US OBLIGATIONS RISE TO THE LEVEL OF ARTICLE V OF NATO
US-SK ALLIANCE OUGHT TO CONSIDER THE NATO 'NUCLEAR SHARING' IDEA
SK NOT TO ADOPT 'INDIGENOUS NUKE DEVELOPMENT'
US-SK ALLIANCE CONSIDER POSITIONING NUKE ASSETS SURROUNDING KP
JAPAN'S MOTIVATION TO INCREASE DEFENSE BUDGET WELCOMED
SK SHOULD JOIN FORCES IN CASE OF TAIWAN CONTINGENCY

Washington, D.C. November 8, 2022 (ICAS) A twenty-second new poll conducted by the ICAS (Institute for Corean-American Studies) looked into the implications of NK’s apparent nuclear power in the Korean Peninsula (KP) and its potential effects on select geopolitical variables.

Conducted to an ICAS audience on the Hill, 83.3% of the respondents believe that the U.S. obligations under the US-SK mutual defense treaty rise to the level of Article V of NATO. 55.6% think the US-SK Alliance ought to consider the 'nuclear-sharing' idea akin to the NATO style, while 33.3% do not.

88.9% of the respondents view that it is about time to make the THAAD battery fully operational since it was first introduced to SK in 2017, and 55.6% do not think SK is a de facto nuclear power in the eyes of NK.

50.0% of the respondents do not agree to a notion that SK ought to consider adopting an "indigenous nuke development" agenda, while 38.9% agree that SK ought to do so.

55.6% of the respondents believe that the US-SK Alliance should consider “reintroducing tactical nukes” to SK. 38.9% do not think so.

Furthermore, 61.1% of respondents believe that the US-SK Alliance should consider positioning nuke assets surrounding KP, while 27.8% disagree.

66.7% of the respondents are of the view that the Extended Deterrence Strategy recently declared by the US-SK Alliance against NK's nuclear threat assures a fortiori commitment. 22.2% do not think so.

72.2% of the respondents hold a negative assessment of the apparent fact that the current U.S. administration's National Security Strategy barely mentions NK's threat and any meaningful diplomacy.

94.4% of the respondents positively assess Japan's apparent motivation to increase its defense budget in the coming years to ~2% of its GDP from its current level of ~1%.

77.8% of the respondents agree that SK should join forces with the Allies (i.e., Japan, Taiwan, US) in case of Taiwan contingency.

The survey was conducted from October 9, 2022 to October 30, 2022 via email with a moderate credibility interval. Supplemental graphic data are available on www.icasinc.org/strategy.html and www.icasinc.org/strategy/polling22.pptx

Inquiry to ICAS@icasinc.org

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About Institute for Corean-American Studies (ICAS)

ICAS was established in 1973, as a non-profit, non-partisan, and private educational and research organization and it is incorporated in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. ICAS is not an agent of any government and/or a foreign principal, and is solely supported by voluntary contributions. Its activities and programs rely on the private donations of the general public, i.e., individuals, foundations, and corporations. ICAS promotes pertinent relations and conducts appropriate activities with a special emphasis on multilateral relations between the United States and Asia-Pacific rim nations. Its membership includes individuals from varied sectors embracing academic, corporate, cultural, educational, international and other related fields. ICAS strives to provide public services pro bono publico.

This page last modified November 10, 2022 rmj